Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 5.575662 6.091608 6.671453 7.379827 8.234043 9.247737 10.568981
2025-01-05 4.841047 5.494391 6.283820 7.335337 8.746606 10.657000 13.613483
2025-01-12 4.217964 4.910703 5.790528 7.039044 8.862576 11.630969 16.717092
2025-01-19 3.727102 4.418915 5.330128 6.687228 8.810011 12.375590 20.164465
2025-01-26 3.554365 4.313607 5.362435 7.031507 9.917729 15.627792 33.176406
2025-02-02 3.501403 4.359626 5.610569 7.765132 12.011434 22.793842 96.652051
2025-02-09 3.362197 4.263734 5.630525 8.133309 13.645288 31.743027 2988.887347
2025-02-16 3.215561 4.138176 5.582617 8.369716 15.173481 45.152169 NaN
2025-02-23 3.056162 3.975498 5.449516 8.410418 16.279640 63.386035 NaN
2025-03-02 2.856640 3.732699 5.151541 8.051577 16.061525 72.747546 NaN
2025-03-09 2.721860 3.580999 4.994071 7.961642 16.685568 102.504568 NaN
2025-03-16 2.563566 3.380560 4.731385 7.594893 16.202190 113.787765 NaN
2025-03-23 2.461994 3.276015 4.649918 7.673160 17.643746 287.564594 NaN
2025-03-30 2.357405 3.159617 4.536373 7.661544 18.855513 5087.077203 NaN
2025-04-06 2.229228 2.996183 4.320999 7.365459 18.649206 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 2.104693 2.831935 4.091391 6.999906 17.930752 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 2.073690 2.821760 4.151913 7.385715 21.580018 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.080544 2.875918 4.344267 8.199207 30.450119 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.046888 2.856783 4.387350 8.613166 38.937299 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.003312 2.816634 4.381762 8.880928 48.562692 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 1.947872 2.751344 4.315300 8.930190 56.423617 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.867783 2.637015 4.132623 8.534285 53.098808 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.812451 2.565314 4.038259 8.436376 57.305959 NaN NaN